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NCAA Basketball Analytics - Updated - 11/29/2020

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2021 Team Rankings

Rank	Team	Record	Conference Name	Rating	AvgWinProb	SOS	Pace	Luck
1	Alabama	(1-0)	SEC	0.772	0.965 33	0.456 156	69 128	0.034 71
2	UMass Lowell	(1-0)	America East	0.766	0.888 45	0.513 89	72 102	0.111 56
3	Abilene Christian	(2-0)	Southland	0.764	0.953 37	0.491 107	67.25 134	0.093 59
4	Gonzaga	(2-0)	West Coast	0.756	0.952 38	0.574 18	87.25 14	0.094 58
5	Clemson	(2-0)	ACC	0.727	0.926 42	0.564 28	61.5 178	0.147 49
6	Iowa	(2-0)	Big Ten	0.721	0.979 30	0.420 188	85.75 17	0.040 68
7	San Diego St	(2-0)	Mountain West	0.718	0.987 20	0.531 61	66.5 143	0.025 73
8	Maryland	(2-0)	Big Ten	0.712	0.969 32	0.489 113	71.5 105	0.060 64
9	West Virginia	(3-0)	Big XII	0.695	0.855 56	0.530 62	71.33 108	0.434 21
10	Illinois	(3-0)	Big Ten	0.686	0.858 54	0.456 159	78.16 45	0.424 22
11	Houston	(2-0)	American	0.676	0.985 21	0.482 120	65 153	0.028 72
12	St. Johns	(2-0)	Big East	0.673	0.876 48	0.480 125	74.5 73	0.247 39
13	Louisiana Tech	(1-0)	Conference USA	0.670	0.887 46	0.489 110	73.5 86	0.112 55
14	Xavier	(3-0)	Big East	0.666	0.820 64	0.491 108	66.66 142	0.538 9
15	Nebraska	(1-1)	Big Ten	0.660	0.875 49	0.489 112	73 96	-0.75 194
16	Mercer	(1-0)	Southern Conference	0.658	0.854 57	0.521 79	78 46	0.145 50
17	N Carolina St	(2-0)	ACC	0.655	0.981 26	0.444 168	73.25 93	0.036 70
18	Saint Louis	(1-0)	Atlantic Ten	0.649	0.998 3	0.419 189	70.5 116	0.001 101
19	Kentucky	(1-0)	SEC	0.646	0.996 8	0.475 134	63 165	0.003 96
20	Texas Tech	(2-0)	Big XII	0.643	0.997 7	0.465 147	73.75 85	0.005 93
21	North Texas	(1-0)	Conference USA	0.640	1 1	0.409 196	89 9	0 102
22	Indiana	(1-0)	Big Ten	0.640	1 1	0.442 170	74 79	0 102
23	Arizona	(1-0)	Pac-12	0.640	0.993 15	0.378 200	64.5 159	0.006 90
24	Ohio St	(1-0)	Big Ten	0.640	0.998 4	0.520 83	80.5 33	0.001 100
25	Ohio	(2-1)	Mid-American	0.639	0.768 69	0.465 148	75.5 64	-0.30 175
26	Connecticut	(2-0)	Big East	0.639	0.992 16	0.433 179	75.75 63	0.014 82
27	TCU	(1-0)	Big XII	0.639	0.997 6	0.414 194	57 195	0.002 98
28	Arkansas	(1-0)	SEC	0.639	0.998 5	0.409 195	102 2	0.001 99
29	Minnesota	(1-0)	Big Ten	0.639	0.996 9	0.497 101	84 24	0.003 95
30	Wisconsin	(2-0)	Big Ten	0.639	0.995 10	0.423 186	73.5 86	0.008 88
31	Texas	(1-0)	Big XII	0.639	0.995 12	0.415 193	73 96	0.004 94
32	Marquette	(2-0)	Big East	0.639	0.995 11	0.423 187	70.25 120	0.009 86
33	Missouri	(1-0)	SEC	0.638	0.993 13	0.487 115	77.5 51	0.006 92
34	UAB	(1-0)	Conference USA	0.638	0.993 14	0.392 198	74.5 73	0.006 91
35	BYU	(1-0)	West Coast	0.637	0.990 17	0.426 183	73.5 86	0.009 85
36	Louisville	(2-0)	ACC	0.637	0.920 43	0.514 88	66 146	0.158 47
37	Michigan St	(1-0)	Big Ten	0.637	0.989 18	0.462 153	75 65	0.010 84
38	Providence	(1-0)	Big East	0.637	0.988 19	0.480 124	76.5 56	0.011 83
39	Michigan	(1-0)	Big Ten	0.636	0.985 22	0.476 133	89 9	0.014 81
40	Miami (OH)	(1-0)	Mid-American	0.636	0.984 23	0.425 185	74 79	0.015 80
41	North Carolina	(1-0)	ACC	0.635	0.981 27	0.513 90	69.5 122	0.018 77
42	Appalachian St	(1-0)	Sun Belt	0.635	0.981 28	0.417 192	71 110	0.018 76
43	Georgetown	(1-0)	Big East	0.634	0.980 29	0.433 178	66 146	0.019 75
44	Pacific	(1-0)	West Coast	0.634	0.979 31	0.430 180	63 165	0.020 74
45	Grand Canyon	(1-0)	WAC	0.634	0.984 24	0.378 199	61 183	0.015 79
46	Rutgers	(2-0)	Big Ten	0.633	0.958 35	0.436 176	80 36	0.082 61
47	Army	(1-0)	Patriot League	0.633	0.984 25	0.427 182	68 131	0.015 78
48	Rice	(1-0)	Conference USA	0.623	0.940 40	0.426 184	60.5 185	0.059 65
49	Montana St	(1-0)	Big Sky	0.623	0.938 41	0.535 54	84.5 20	0.061 63
50	Richmond	(1-0)	Atlantic Ten	0.623	0.960 34	0.475 134	73 96	0.039 69
51	S Methodist	(1-0)	American	0.621	0.958 36	0.492 106	82 29	0.041 67
52	LSU	(1-0)	SEC	0.616	0.947 39	0.419 190	87.5 13	0.052 66
53	Oregon St	(1-0)	Pac-12	0.616	0.914 44	0.543 46	67 136	0.085 60
54	Wake Forest	(2-0)	ACC	0.606	0.878 47	0.418 191	73.25 93	0.242 40
55	Santa Clara	(2-0)	West Coast	0.603	0.853 58	0.441 172	60 189	0.292 35
56	N Illinois	(0-1)	Mid-American	0.602	0.864 52	0.456 158	63 165	-0.86 195
57	FLA Gulf Coast	(1-0)	Atlantic Sun	0.600	0.859 53	0.404 197	60.5 185	0.140 53
58	Marshall	(1-0)	Conference USA	0.599	0.855 55	0.462 151	63 165	0.144 51
59	Belmont	(2-0)	Ohio Valley	0.595	0.839 59	0.469 143	79.25 39	0.321 32
60	Colorado	(2-0)	Pac-12	0.594	0.791 67	0.519 85	69.75 121	0.417 24
61	Quinnipiac	(1-0)	MAAC	0.593	0.870 50	0.433 177	75 65	0.129 54
62	St. Francis (PA)	(1-0)	Northeast	0.592	0.829 61	0.570 20	75 65	0.170 46
63	Virginia Tech	(1-0)	ACC	0.591	0.824 62	0.466 146	69.5 122	0.175 45
64	Norfolk St	(1-0)	MEAC	0.590	0.823 63	0.474 136	78 46	0.176 44
65	Nicholls St	(2-0)	Southland	0.589	0.832 60	0.441 173	78.75 41	0.334 31
66	IPFW	(1-0)	Summit League	0.583	0.798 65	0.440 174	65 153	0.201 43
67	E Kentucky	(2-0)	Ohio Valley	0.583	0.869 51	0.444 168	64.25 160	0.260 38
68	Washington St	(1-0)	Pac-12	0.578	0.777 68	0.449 166	54 199	0.222 41
69	Toledo	(1-2)	Mid-American	0.576	0.647 78	0.523 77	67 136	-0.94 197
70	UCLA	(1-1)	Pac-12	0.570	0.464 112	0.523 75	84 24	0.071 62
71	Troy	(1-0)	Sun Belt	0.569	0.549 87	0.464 150	65 153	0.450 19
72	Kansas St	(0-2)	Big XII	0.563	0.455 114	0.529 66	71 110	-0.91 196
73	Virginia	(1-1)	ACC	0.563	0.700 74	0.482 121	66 146	-0.40 179
74	USC	(1-0)	Pac-12	0.562	0.723 70	0.429 181	91 5	0.276 37
75	Purdue	(1-1)	Big Ten	0.562	0.526 94	0.520 81	73 96	-0.05 139
76	Davidson	(1-0)	Atlantic Ten	0.562	0.721 72	0.458 155	77.5 51	0.278 36
77	AR-Little Rock	(1-1)	Sun Belt	0.560	0.565 83	0.451 164	71 110	-0.13 153
78	UNC Greensboro	(1-0)	Southern Conference	0.558	0.554 85	0.479 127	73.5 86	0.445 20
79	Butler	(1-0)	Big East	0.553	0.691 75	0.479 126	64 163	0.308 33
80	San Francisco	(2-1)	West Coast	0.552	0.547 88	0.510 91	68.66 130	0.356 28
81	Drake	(2-0)	Missouri Valley	0.549	0.721 71	0.519 84	68 131	0.556 7
82	Villanova	(2-0)	Big East	0.546	0.593 82	0.533 58	75 65	0.812 3
83	Vanderbilt	(1-0)	SEC	0.544	0.657 77	0.499 99	74 79	0.342 30
84	Buffalo	(1-0)	Mid-American	0.540	0.793 66	0.451 165	69.5 122	0.206 42
85	W Carolina	(1-1)	Southern Conference	0.538	0.605 80	0.469 141	76 60	-0.21 165
86	Nevada	(2-0)	Mountain West	0.536	0.551 86	0.516 86	61.25 182	0.896 1
87	South Alabama	(1-0)	Sun Belt	0.535	0.704 73	0.456 160	67 136	0.295 34
88	Kansas	(1-1)	Big XII	0.530	0.496 104	0.567 23	89.5 8	0.007 89
89	N Kentucky	(1-0)	Horizon League	0.529	0.606 79	0.466 145	73.5 86	0.393 26
90	UNC-Asheville	(0-1)	Big South	0.526	0.659 76	0.469 142	72 102	-0.65 192
91	Mount St. Marys	(1-0)	Northeast	0.526	0.593 81	0.451 162	58.5 191	0.406 25
92	Memphis	(1-2)	American	0.517	0.555 84	0.559 32	67 136	-0.66 193
93	W Kentucky	(2-1)	Conference USA	0.515	0.445 116	0.570 21	76.33 59	0.664 5
94	Boston College	(1-1)	ACC	0.514	0.500 102	0.564 27	69 128	-0.00 105
95	Loyola Mary	(1-0)	West Coast	0.512	0.542 90	0.441 171	84 24	0.457 18
96	Bryant U	(0-1)	Northeast	0.504	0.516 96	0.595 7	84.5 20	-0.51 188
97	Bradley	(2-1)	Missouri Valley	0.503	0.507 100	0.528 68	59.16 190	0.477 14
98	East Carolina	(1-0)	American	0.503	0.513 98	0.485 116	61.5 178	0.486 13
99	Navy	(1-1)	Patriot League	0.501	0.495 106	0.534 55	70.75 115	0.009 87
100	Seattle	(1-0)	WAC	0.501	0.504 101	0.490 109	78 46	0.495 12
101	St. Peters	(1-1)	MAAC	0.499	0.498 103	0.525 73	66 146	0.003 97
102	Portland	(0-1)	West Coast	0.498	0.495 105	0.478 129	78 46	-0.49 187
103	Charlotte	(0-1)	Conference USA	0.496	0.486 107	0.480 122	61.5 178	-0.48 186
104	Syracuse	(1-0)	ACC	0.495	0.483 109	0.440 175	84.5 20	0.516 10
105	Austin Peay	(2-1)	Ohio Valley	0.493	0.475 111	0.478 128	70.5 116	0.574 6
106	Jacksonville St	(1-1)	Ohio Valley	0.490	0.429 117	0.515 87	62 176	0.141 52
107	Southern Utah	(0-1)	Big Sky	0.487	0.457 113	0.480 123	84 24	-0.45 182
108	George Mason	(0-1)	Atlantic Ten	0.485	0.286 132	0.541 49	72 102	-0.28 174
109	Saint Marys	(2-1)	West Coast	0.482	0.484 108	0.539 50	65 153	0.546 8
110	Northern Iowa	(0-3)	Missouri Valley	0.480	0.508 99	0.547 42	77.16 55	-1.52 200
111	VCU	(2-1)	Atlantic Ten	0.479	0.416 119	0.576 16	71.16 109	0.750 4
112	N Carolina Cent	(1-1)	MEAC	0.478	0.452 115	0.484 117	81.75 30	0.095 57
113	E Tenn St	(1-2)	Southern Conference	0.477	0.382 122	0.498 100	58.33 193	-0.14 158
114	Rhode Island	(0-2)	Atlantic Ten	0.475	0.483 110	0.533 59	78.75 41	-0.96 198
115	UC Davis	(0-2)	Big West	0.475	0.268 136	0.477 131	80.75 32	-0.53 189
116	Morgan St	(0-1)	MEAC	0.473	0.406 120	0.473 137	58.5 191	-0.40 180
117	Prairie View A&M	(1-1)	SWAC	0.472	0.546 89	0.483 119	65.5 151	-0.09 151
118	Ball St	(0-1)	Mid-American	0.470	0.393 121	0.483 118	73.5 86	-0.39 178
119	Arizona St	(1-1)	Pac-12	0.464	0.422 118	0.564 26	84.75 19	0.155 48
120	Longwood	(0-1)	Big South	0.456	0.218 143	0.534 56	65.5 151	-0.21 166
121	Valparaiso	(0-1)	Horizon League	0.455	0.342 126	0.563 30	74 79	-0.34 177
122	Oklahoma St	(1-0)	Big XII	0.449	0.541 91	0.489 111	71.5 105	0.458 17
123	Georgia St	(1-0)	Sun Belt	0.448	0.525 95	0.521 80	121.5 1	0.474 15
124	Georgia Tech	(0-2)	ACC	0.446	0.309 129	0.495 105	99.75 3	-0.61 191
125	W Michigan	(0-1)	Mid-American	0.446	0.308 130	0.581 15	64 163	-0.30 176
126	Mid Tennessee	(0-2)	Conference USA	0.442	0.514 97	0.473 138	54.75 198	-1.02 199
127	S Dakota St	(1-2)	Summit League	0.442	0.372 123	0.574 19	70.5 116	-0.11 152
128	TX-Arlington	(0-2)	Sun Belt	0.439	0.285 133	0.536 53	72.5 101	-0.57 190
129	High Point	(0-1)	Big South	0.437	0.278 134	0.551 39	77.5 51	-0.27 173
130	Cal Baptist	(0-1)	WAC	0.437	0.276 135	0.547 41	91 5	-0.27 172
131	Seton Hall	(0-1)	Big East	0.429	0.153 148	0.621 2	70.5 116	-0.15 159
132	Tulane	(1-0)	American	0.428	0.533 92	0.451 163	61.5 178	0.466 16
133	Lamar	(0-2)	Southland	0.427	0.241 138	0.508 92	64.25 160	-0.48 185
134	Pepperdine	(1-1)	West Coast	0.427	0.532 93	0.531 60	90.75 7	-0.06 145
135	Texas Southern	(0-1)	SWAC	0.421	0.222 141	0.524 74	54 199	-0.22 167
136	N Carolina A&T	(1-2)	MEAC	0.420	0.348 125	0.503 95	76 60	-0.04 138
137	Auburn	(1-1)	SEC	0.417	0.319 128	0.567 23	86 16	0.361 27
138	SE Louisiana	(0-1)	Southland	0.416	0.201 144	0.488 114	65 153	-0.20 163
139	CSU	(0-2)	Big South	0.414	0.127 153	0.529 63	66.5 143	-0.25 170
140	UNC-Wilmington	(1-1)	Colonial	0.413	0.289 131	0.468 144	79.5 37	0.420 23
141	James Madison	(0-1)	Colonial	0.409	0.176 145	0.460 154	78 46	-0.17 162
142	Radford	(0-1)	Big South	0.408	0.175 146	0.558 33	69.5 122	-0.17 161
143	Pittsburgh	(0-1)	ACC	0.407	0.170 147	0.448 167	75 65	-0.17 160
144	Arkansas St	(0-1)	Sun Belt	0.400	0.144 149	0.522 78	63 165	-0.14 157
145	Florida A&M	(0-1)	MEAC	0.399	0.140 151	0.465 149	60.5 185	-0.14 155
146	Illinois-Chicago	(1-0)	Horizon League	0.397	0.135 152	0.456 157	63 165	0.864 2
147	Fair Dickinson	(0-2)	Northeast	0.393	0.101 156	0.496 103	80.25 35	-0.20 164
148	Utah St	(1-2)	Mountain West	0.387	0.362 124	0.537 51	74.83 72	-0.08 149
149	California	(0-1)	Pac-12	0.383	0.085 158	0.529 67	67 136	-0.08 148
150	UNLV	(0-1)	Mountain West	0.376	0.061 160	0.462 152	84.5 20	-0.06 143
151	Incarnate Word	(0-1)	Southland	0.376	0.059 161	0.472 139	60.5 185	-0.05 142
152	SIU-Edwardsville	(0-2)	Ohio Valley	0.367	0.026 166	0.549 40	79 40	-0.05 140
153	Miss. St	(0-2)	SEC	0.367	0.221 142	0.520 82	63 165	-0.44 181
154	Hartford	(0-1)	America East	0.366	0.014 180	0.587 13	63 165	-0.01 122
155	Morehead St	(0-2)	Ohio Valley	0.365	0.021 171	0.588 12	68 131	-0.04 136
156	Sam Houston St	(0-2)	Southland	0.365	0.021 170	0.546 43	75 65	-0.04 137
157	UC Riverside	(0-1)	Big West	0.365	0.020 173	0.504 94	63 165	-0.02 130
158	UMBC	(0-1)	America East	0.365	0.019 174	0.595 8	66 146	-0.01 129
159	S Carolina St	(0-1)	MEAC	0.364	0.018 175	0.476 132	71 110	-0.01 128
160	Charleston	(0-1)	Colonial	0.364	0.018 176	0.625 1	69.5 122	-0.01 127
161	North Dakota	(0-1)	Big Sky	0.363	0.015 178	0.496 102	74 79	-0.01 124
162	Bowling Green	(0-1)	Mid-American	0.363	0.014 179	0.585 14	89 9	-0.01 123
163	E Illinois	(0-2)	Ohio Valley	0.362	0.007 189	0.598 5	67.25 134	-0.01 125
164	Fairfield	(0-1)	MAAC	0.362	0.011 182	0.557 34	76.5 56	-0.01 120
165	Grambling St	(0-2)	SWAC	0.362	0.010 184	0.553 37	62.75 175	-0.02 131
166	E Michigan	(0-1)	Mid-American	0.362	0.010 185	0.618 3	75 65	-0.01 118
167	New Orleans	(0-1)	Southland	0.362	0.009 187	0.589 11	73.5 86	-0.00 116
168	Boise St	(0-1)	Mountain West	0.361	0.011 183	0.552 38	63 165	-0.01 119
169	Alcorn St	(0-1)	SWAC	0.361	0.006 190	0.545 44	74.5 73	-0.00 115
170	Oral Roberts	(0-1)	Summit League	0.361	0.006 191	0.567 25	77.5 51	-0.00 114
171	UT-Rio Grande	(0-1)	WAC	0.360	0.004 192	0.592 9	73 96	-0.00 113
172	Northwestern St	(0-1)	Southland	0.360	0.003 193	0.554 35	79.5 37	-0.00 112
173	Cent Conn St	(0-2)	Northeast	0.360	0.007 188	0.527 69	78.25 44	-0.01 126
174	Green Bay	(0-1)	Horizon League	0.360	0.003 194	0.568 22	84 24	-0.00 111
175	Houston Baptist	(0-1)	Southland	0.360	0.002 196	0.527 70	57 195	-0.00 109
176	Illinois St	(0-1)	Missouri Valley	0.359	0.001 197	0.599 4	80.5 33	-0.00 106
177	Miss. Valley St	(0-2)	SWAC	0.359	0.000 199	0.537 52	95.5 4	-0.00 107
178	Tennessee Tech	(0-1)	Ohio Valley	0.359	0 200	0.561 31	74 79	0 102
179	AR-Pine Bluff	(0-2)	SWAC	0.358	0.001 198	0.598 5	76.5 56	-0.00 108
180	Old Dominion	(0-1)	Conference USA	0.356	0.012 181	0.589 10	76 60	-0.01 121
181	Florida Atl	(0-2)	Conference USA	0.354	0.235 139	0.470 140	61 183	-0.47 184
182	Sacred Heart	(0-1)	Northeast	0.350	0.009 186	0.503 96	74.5 73	-0.00 117
183	North Florida	(0-2)	Atlantic Sun	0.346	0.020 172	0.529 63	71 110	-0.04 135
184	Liberty	(1-1)	Atlantic Sun	0.342	0.325 127	0.564 29	74.5 73	0.349 29
185	Evansville	(0-2)	Missouri Valley	0.336	0.112 155	0.526 72	62 176	-0.22 168
186	Nebraska Omaha	(1-1)	Summit League	0.335	0.245 137	0.500 98	64.25 160	0.508 11
187	Idaho St	(0-2)	Big Sky	0.332	0.045 163	0.477 130	58 194	-0.09 150
188	Delaware St	(0-1)	MEAC	0.331	0.023 169	0.534 56	81 31	-0.02 132
189	La Salle	(0-2)	Atlantic Ten	0.327	0.125 154	0.505 93	65 153	-0.25 169
190	Howard	(0-1)	MEAC	0.324	0.035 164	0.541 48	86.5 15	-0.03 134
191	McNeese St	(0-1)	Southland	0.316	0.003 195	0.553 36	78.5 43	-0.00 110
192	Towson	(0-3)	Colonial	0.303	0.091 157	0.544 45	71.5 105	-0.27 171
193	Southern	(0-2)	SWAC	0.300	0.067 159	0.496 104	85.5 18	-0.13 154
194	Saint Josephs	(0-2)	Atlantic Ten	0.295	0.232 140	0.574 17	88.25 12	-0.46 183
195	South Dakota	(0-2)	Summit League	0.292	0.031 165	0.529 65	66.75 141	-0.06 144
196	N Dakota St	(0-1)	Summit League	0.289	0.142 150	0.542 47	55 197	-0.14 156
197	UC Irvine	(0-2)	Big West	0.283	0.016 177	0.523 76	73.25 93	-0.03 133
198	Chicago St	(0-3)	WAC	0.252	0.024 167	0.503 97	66.33 145	-0.07 147
199	Oakland	(0-3)	Horizon League	0.252	0.024 168	0.527 71	69.5 122	-0.07 146
200	G. Washington	(0-1)	Atlantic Ten	0.214	0.057 162	0.455 161	74.5 73	-0.05 141